Latest release: Shrawan · FY 2083/84Imports Rs 187.44BExports Rs 38.70BDeficit Rs 148.74BTotal trade Rs 226.15B
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TradePulse Intelligence Report · 01

Nepal Trade Report — Shrawan 2083/84

Imports, exports, trade deficit and the product, partner-country and customs-route signals behind Nepal's first foreign-trade release of FY 2083/84.

Coverage: mid-July to mid-August 2026Published: 5 September 2026Primary data: Department of Customs workbook
Imports
Rs 187.44B
YoY +31.04%
Exports
Rs 38.70B
YoY +61.72%
Trade deficit
Rs 148.74B
YoY +24.88%
Total trade
Rs 226.15B
YoY +35.44%

Values calculated from the Department of Customs Shrawan FY 2083/84 foreign-trade workbook. Source values are in Rs thousands and are converted here to Rs billions.

Executive read

Exports accelerated. Nepal's absolute trade gap still grew.

The first month of FY 2083/84 shows a larger trade system on both sides. Export growth outpaced import growth in percentage terms, but imports remain much larger in value.

Balance

4.84× import/export ratio

The ratio improved from 5.98× a year earlier, but Nepal still imported nearly five rupees of goods for every rupee exported.

Composition

82.89% of trade was imports

Exports increased their share of total merchandise trade to 17.11%, from 14.33% in the comparable first month.

Scale

Rs 59.17B more total trade

Total merchandise trade rose from Rs 166.97B to Rs 226.15B, an increase of 35.44%.

Product concentration

Soybean oil is the defining product signal.

Crude soybean oil was Nepal's largest import item, while processed soybean oil was by far the largest export item in the same release.

Leading imports

Rs billion
Crude soybean oil18.40
Diesel13.85
LPG8.47
DAP fertilizer7.87
Petrol6.88

Leading exports

Rs billion
Processed soybean oil17.99
Refined palm olein1.29
Sunflower / safflower oil1.21
Stainless-steel household articles1.16
Unbleached woven jute fabric1.07
46.5%Processed soybean oil alone represented approximately 46.5% of merchandise exports in this release. That makes the headline export-growth number highly concentrated in one HS-code line and worth tracking in later months.
Partner countries

India dominates both sides of the trade account.

The partner-country table shows substantial concentration. This is a descriptive exposure measure, not a causal explanation of trade performance.

India · imports

Rs 102.45B

About 54.7% of Nepal's merchandise imports in Shrawan came from India.

India · exports

Rs 33.26B

About 85.9% of Nepal's merchandise exports in the release went to India.

China · imports

Rs 31.75B

China was the second-largest import partner, while exports to China were only about Rs 0.21B.

Interpretation: the data shows where trade value is concentrated. It does not by itself establish why those flows changed; policy, prices, re-export/processing dynamics, demand and timing require separate evidence.
Customs routes

Birgunj handled half of import value.

Route concentration matters for logistics and exposure analysis. In Shrawan, Birgunj was the largest customs gateway by a wide margin.

Birgunj importsRs 93.86B50.07% of national import value
Birgunj exportsRs 18.01B46.52% of national export value
Bhairahawa importsRs 28.99BSecond-largest import gateway
Biratnagar importsRs 23.44BThird-largest import gateway
What to watch next

Four signals for the Bhadra release

1. Export concentration. Does processed soybean oil remain close to half of exports, or does the export basket broaden as the fiscal year progresses?

2. Import acceleration. Imports were already 31.04% above the comparable first month. The next release will show whether that pace persists.

3. India exposure. India accounted for roughly 86% of exports and 55% of imports. A material shift here can move headline trade numbers quickly.

4. Gateway concentration. Birgunj handled about half of both import and export value. Later releases can show whether route concentration rises or normalises.

TradePulse view: one month is a snapshot, not a full-year forecast. The most useful signal will come from comparing the same indicators release by release rather than extrapolating Shrawan mechanically.
Source & methodology

How this report was produced

The calculations on this page were generated from the Department of Customs workbook for the first month (Shrawan) of FY 2083/84, covering mid-July to mid-August 2026. TradePulse reads the workbook's trade-direction, commodity, partner-country and customs-office tables, converts monetary values from Rs thousands to Rs billions, and calculates concentration shares from the underlying values.

TradePulse Nepal is an independent public-data project, not an official government publication. Figures are rounded for presentation. The source workbook remains the authoritative record.